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A few weeks ago we were winning the league, Treble etc

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  • #16
    I was actually quite surprised to discover, when I read a piece on

    Originally posted by Peter View Post
    He was indeed. I believe he 'knew where the goal was'.
    his career and stats,quite how lethal he was.

    Comment


    • #17
      Originally posted by Peter View Post
      89.3 actually

      And is 90 points enough? Apart from last season, where Liverpool didn't need to reach it, the only title in the last 10 years that you could have won with 90 points was 20/21.

      In 22/23, City did finish on 89 points. But they were on 88 with two games remaining, had won 12 in a row and were chasing a treble. Had we forced them to do so, I think we can assume they would have fielded strong sides in fhe two remaining games and scraped their way to 90....
      Statistically though, teams that win the league generally aren't tracking for 90 points at this stage of the season. The usual cadence is to hit form in the new year and go on a run that takes your tally to the 90 point mark. As you have shown with your Man City example, 12 wins in a row... After 19 games in that season, Man City were on 42 points, tracking for 84 points.

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      • #18
        Originally posted by Maravilloso Marvo View Post
        Statistically though, teams that win the league generally aren't tracking for 90 points at this stage of the season. The usual cadence is to hit form in the new year and go on a run that takes your tally to the 90 point mark. As you have shown with your Man City example, 12 wins in a row... After 19 games in that season, Man City were on 42 points, tracking for 84 points.
        I think it is more that that is what City do. Liverpool's two title wins involved fast starts. Outside of City there are few other examples in the last 10 years....

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        • #19
          Originally posted by Peter View Post
          I think it is more that that is what City do. Liverpool's two title wins involved fast starts. Outside of City there are few other examples in the last 10 years....
          Didn't Wenger win loads of games in a row to snatch a title.

          Oh. Last ten years, you say
          "Plenty of strikers can score goals," he said, gesturing to the famous old stands casting shadows around us.

          "But a lot have found it difficult wearing the number 9 shirt for The Arsenal."

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          • #20
            Okay, I've done the research... Below shows the perecentage of the total point tally to win the league at the halfway point of the season.

            Red, you are thinking about 2002 I guess.

            If you average it out over these 25 years, it comes out at exactly 50% at the halfway point

            2000 Man Utd 47%
            2001 Man Utd 54%
            2002 Arsenal 41%
            2003 Man Utd 47%
            2004 Arsenal 50%
            2005 Chelsea 48%
            2006 Chelsea 57%
            2007 Man Utd 53%
            2008 Man Utd 52%
            2009 Man Utd 46%
            2010 Chelsea 49%
            2011 Man Utd 51%
            2012 Man City 51%
            2013 Man Utd 52%
            2014 Man City 48%
            2015 Chelsea 53%
            2016 Leicester 48%
            2017 Chelsea 53%
            2018 Man City 55%
            2019 Man City 45%
            2020 Liverpool 56%
            2021 Man City 48%
            2022 Man City 51%
            2023 Man City 47%
            2024 Man City 44%
            2025 Liverpool 55%

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            • #21
              Yes. Thank you, MM. Time flies, dunnit
              "Plenty of strikers can score goals," he said, gesturing to the famous old stands casting shadows around us.

              "But a lot have found it difficult wearing the number 9 shirt for The Arsenal."

              Comment


              • #22
                Originally posted by Maravilloso Marvo View Post
                Okay, I've done the research... Below shows the perecentage of the total point tally to win the league at the halfway point of the season.

                Red, you are thinking about 2002 I guess.

                If you average it out over these 25 years, it comes out at exactly 50% at the halfway point

                2000 Man Utd 47%
                2001 Man Utd 54%
                2002 Arsenal 41%
                2003 Man Utd 47%
                2004 Arsenal 50%
                2005 Chelsea 48%
                2006 Chelsea 57%
                2007 Man Utd 53%
                2008 Man Utd 52%
                2009 Man Utd 46%
                2010 Chelsea 49%
                2011 Man Utd 51%
                2012 Man City 51%
                2013 Man Utd 52%
                2014 Man City 48%
                2015 Chelsea 53%
                2016 Leicester 48%
                2017 Chelsea 53%
                2018 Man City 55%
                2019 Man City 45%
                2020 Liverpool 56%
                2021 Man City 48%
                2022 Man City 51%
                2023 Man City 47%
                2024 Man City 44%
                2025 Liverpool 55%
                Admirable research!

                So, in the last ten years, the rule seems to be that the only way to beat City to the title is to start fast, get ahead, and stay ahead.

                We tried that once- it didn't work. And we tried chasing them- didn't work.

                Third time lucky

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by Peter View Post
                  Admirable research!

                  So, in the last ten years, the rule seems to be that the only way to beat City to the title is to start fast, get ahead, and stay ahead.

                  We tried that once- it didn't work. And we tried chasing them- didn't work.

                  Third time lucky
                  I thought we'd already blown it this year? City's title to lose now and all that...?

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Maravilloso Marvo View Post
                    I thought we'd already blown it this year? City's title to lose now and all that...?
                    Well, it is in their hands.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by Maravilloso Marvo View Post
                      I thought we'd already blown it this year? City's title to lose now and all that...?
                      For me, it's ALWAYS theirs to lose.

                      This is our first season with a "billion-pound" first team squad so we still don't know if it's the RIGHT squad. We may have to have a few more goes at it, make some mistakes; get different players, better players. Mikel has earned that.
                      "Plenty of strikers can score goals," he said, gesturing to the famous old stands casting shadows around us.

                      "But a lot have found it difficult wearing the number 9 shirt for The Arsenal."

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by redgunamo View Post
                        For me, it's ALWAYS theirs to lose.

                        This is our first season with a "billion-pound" first team squad so we still don't know if it's the RIGHT squad. We may have to have a few more goes at it, make some mistakes; get different players, better players. Mikel has earned that.
                        If we could keep everyone fit, we'd be sorted. Imagine having Willy and Gabby together at the back. Triphop and Hinchappy both look very good, but the most important partnership on the pitch is the CHs.

                        Comment

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