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Thread: Brexit is going to ultimately get cancelled if May loses tonight, isn’t it?

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  1. #1
    Quote Originally Posted by WES View Post
    so you think parliament if faced with a choice between no deal and May’s deal would choose no deal? Not convinced
    I've explained the mechanics whereby it potentially happens. Labour would whip against it and there's no reason to think any other opposition parties wouldn't do the same, since they'll want to distance themselves as far as possible from 'Tory Brexit' as they can. The DUP won't budge if the backstop doesn't and the ERG - if faced with a choice between the deal they hate and No Deal - will overwhelmingly vote No Deal (indeed, many of them would love it).

    Now sure there are lots of potential complications to that (abstentions, rebellions on the Labour benches, Tory MPs losing their bottle, etc), but it's perfectly plausible - even likely at this stage - that May's deal is rejected a third time and we get No Deal.

  2. #2
    So all in all the Brexit is just a complicated equivalent of a Awimb flounce?

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Pat Vegas View Post
    So all in all the Brexit is just a complicated equivalent of a Awimb flounce?
    Amusingly, after all this time and all the high-level to-ing and fro-ing, it may come down to exactly that, yes.

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