I'm going to say the polls are completely wrong (again) and the youngsters won't go out and vote. Labour to get below 200 seats.
I'm going to say the polls are completely wrong (again) and the youngsters won't go out and vote. Labour to get below 200 seats.
Young people may vote, but they will do so in concentrations like University towns where it will make no difference. It's entirely possible, in fact, that Labour's vote share could go up on 2015's but they still lose a shedload of seats. That'd give them something to moan about.
The fact that the polling is bloody appalling makes predictions very difficult, but I'd say a majority of anything over 50 is a pretty solid bet.
Another way of looking at it is not that they've run a shoddy campaign, but that for the first time in memory they've known they can push through policies that are disliked by their core voter base and still get away with it come polling day. This is most evident in their social care policy, which seems to be to be a policy that someone of a left-leaning persuasion would ordinarily fully support, if it were not the Tories who were proposing it.