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Thread: Investigation into Arsenal player and dodgy betting

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  1. #1
    That’s a bit over the top…

    65k matched means there was only at most 32.5k bet on him to get a card since the market opened. The total figure is total of bets made and potential payouts from laying the bets.

    So if you bet 20 at 4/1 the market will show as 100 matched when only £20 was actually bet.

    The actually amount bet on Xhaka is way lower…probably between 15 to 20k.

    Pretty standard betting especially for Xhaka.

    It looks from the graph that his price hit a high of 3/1 and someone put 11 euros on followed by further small bets.

    Problem here…it’s betfair so it could be 1 person or thousands. Doesn’t even have to be a person…could just be a bot that’s been preset to mop up a specific market and cash out at pre set prices. Could also be other bookmakers cleaning up their own positions ie they took bets at 6/4 and then covered them at higher prices on betfair.

    It’s also small market with low liquidity so you will see price fluctuations.

    I could do that easy on my own…just pick a nice quiet race in the middle of nowhere USA at 2am and it’s just me and at most a half a dozen people betting.

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by Tony C View Post
    That’s a bit over the top…

    65k matched means there was only at most 32.5k bet on him to get a card since the market opened. The total figure is total of bets made and potential payouts from laying the bets.

    So if you bet 20 at 4/1 the market will show as 100 matched when only £20 was actually bet.

    The actually amount bet on Xhaka is way lower…probably between 15 to 20k.

    Pretty standard betting especially for Xhaka.

    It looks from the graph that his price hit a high of 3/1 and someone put 11 euros on followed by further small bets.

    Problem here…it’s betfair so it could be 1 person or thousands. Doesn’t even have to be a person…could just be a bot that’s been preset to mop up a specific market and cash out at pre set prices. Could also be other bookmakers cleaning up their own positions ie they took bets at 6/4 and then covered them at higher prices on betfair.

    It’s also small market with low liquidity so you will see price fluctuations.

    I could do that easy on my own…just pick a nice quiet race in the middle of nowhere USA at 2am and it’s just me and at most a half a dozen people betting.
    What I understand of that is that the ref was bent. Thanks T

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Luis Anaconda View Post
    What I understand of that is that the ref was bent. Thanks T
    We're not allowed to say bent anymore LA. Apparently the term is homosexual. Or I think queer is still okay.

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