Hmmm. Churches in France do seem to be suffering a terrible run of luck lately.

[Pokster]

Yes, because that is utterly laughable. The reason is obvious to a half-bright child. It's the same reason we now have anti-car barriers on central London, invasive levels of security at airports, bombs going off at music concerts and massacres committed in European cities.

So the default for you is that it was arson, and arson by a certain set of people, rather than the far more obvious answer that it was an accident?

[Sir C]

So the default for you is that it was arson, and arson by a certain set of people, rather than the far more obvious answer that it was an accident?

Of course it may well have been an accident, but what you've missed is the link in b's original post describing the disturbing number of incidents recently at catholic churches in France. So that surely weighs on the balance of probablilities?

[Pokster]

Of course it may well have been an accident, but what you've missed is the link in b's original post describing the disturbing number of incidents recently at catholic churches in France. So that surely weighs on the balance of probablilities?

I haven't missed the link, I would suggest the huge probaility that it is an accident, with a small chance it was arson....which seems to be the opposite of what b is suggesting

[PSRB]

I haven't missed the link, I would suggest the huge probaility that it is an accident, with a small chance it was arson....which seems to be the opposite of what b is suggesting

In fairness, Newsweek is suggesting that. B, is merely leading us to the article and wondering if there is an element of truth to it

[WES]

In fairness, Newsweek is suggesting that. B, is merely leading us to the article and wondering if there is an element of truth to it

I would think the fact that it was undergoing renovation at the time would certainly add to the likelihood that it was an accident.

Not sure why anyone would assume it was an act of terrorism and laugh at any alternatives. Leaving it open as a possibility, certainly.

[Rich]

I would think the fact that it was undergoing renovation at the time would certainly add to the likelihood that it was an accident.

Not sure why anyone would assume it was an act of terrorism and laugh at any alternatives. Leaving it open as a possibility, certainly.

Have you considered that one of the workmen may have had an ulterior motive?

[PSRB]

Have you considered that one of the workmen may have had an ulterior motive?

There is a picture of the early stages of the fire on the BBC website, it definitely starts in the roof. Which would seem to point to an accident.

[Sir C]

I haven't missed the link, I would suggest the huge probaility that it is an accident, with a small chance it was arson....which seems to be the opposite of what b is suggesting

Well, I'd say that without the ongoing story of churches being targeted in France your "huge probaility that it is an accident, with a small chance it was arson" would be the sensible conclusion, but when you add in the knowledge that recently this stuff keeps happeneing, surely your view changes a little? I mean "huge probability" versus "small chance"? Really?

[Pokster]

Well, I'd say that without the ongoing story of churches being targeted in France your "huge probaility that it is an accident, with a small chance it was arson" would be the sensible conclusion, but when you add in the knowledge that recently this stuff keeps happeneing, surely your view changes a little? I mean "huge probability" versus "small chance"? Really?

Yes, really

[Sir C]

Yes, really

In that case we either have an extremely different view of probablities or you are furiously displaying your woke credentials.

Are you Ian Harvey in disguise?