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Thread: So here's the deal on this virus

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  1. #1
    Quote Originally Posted by Burney View Post
    No. It almost certainly isn't. In terms of deaths per million, we currently compare similarly or better with countries where the lockdown was earlier and much more severe.

    The fact is that it is way, way too early to start drawing conclusions about the numbers of deaths or why they did or didn't occur. Reporting criteria vary, as does methodology.

    And comparing NZ - an incredibly sparsely-populated country thousands of miles from anywhere - with pretty much anywhere else on earth is totally meaningless.
    depends how you also compare how each country decides what a covid death is or isn't..... look at Belgium who have included deaths in hospital and outside and also included deaths that they think are likely to be covid even if they weren't tested.

    you can't compare any country with another country accurately unless they have identical reporting methods etc
    Northern Monkey ... who can't upload a bleeding Avatar

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by Pokster View Post
    depends how you also compare how each country decides what a covid death is or isn't..... look at Belgium who have included deaths in hospital and outside and also included deaths that they think are likely to be covid even if they weren't tested.

    you can't compare any country with another country accurately unless they have identical reporting methods etc
    Yes, but equally, there's strong evidence that deaths from Covid-19 here are being over-reported among the elderly. As things stand, the numbers are nothing but a guide to the reality - and not a terribly good one at that. All of which should make anyone sensible shy away from concluding that one country has done 'well' or another 'badly' based on those numbers.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Burney View Post
    Yes, but equally, there's strong evidence that deaths from Covid-19 here are being over-reported among the elderly. As things stand, the numbers are nothing but a guide to the reality - and not a terribly good one at that. All of which should make anyone sensible shy away from concluding that one country has done 'well' or another 'badly' based on those numbers.
    every country will have done some things badly...not that they will admit it. It's learning lessons for next time, and there will be a next time
    Northern Monkey ... who can't upload a bleeding Avatar

  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Pokster View Post
    every country will have done some things badly...not that they will admit it. It's learning lessons for next time, and there will be a next time
    I don't think such judgements are necessarily helpful. The world hasn't faced anything like this since 1919, so it was impossible for most governments to know bad from good and I wouldn't judge any of them too harshly.
    Although I think we can all agree that China suppressing the data; bullying the WHO into compliance; lying about human-to-human transmission; and allowing it to spread worldwide is probably the exception to that rule.

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