I think GGs point is that is quite normal. So on the rare times when all 20 actually agree......
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Apparently it has. There was a map doing the rounds awhile ago, showing the all of the London boroughs and the prominent bands each had spawned. Mostly highly-questionable stuff but with the caveat that since the industry was traditionally centred in London, almost all of them could vaguely claim to hail from the capital.
I recall a paper that said if the entire atmosphere was the Height of the Elizabeth Tower (Big Ben), CO2 would be 1.5 inches of its entire height.
of that 1.5 inches, man(or woman. thank you, sister)-made CO2 is 2mm of it.
and it is that 2mm that obviously controls the climate.
Make you think. Innit.
Yup. Exactly.
The other difference is that in academia, everyone has to show their workings in detail and everyone then has a lot of time to look into their workings and debate them amongst the whole community.
In the climate case, that would be very complex multiple regressions with people showing their workings for the weighting given to each variable. The community can then see how predictions have worked out over time and discuss how the weighting should change accordingly or if there are other variables that need to be considered and added to the regression.
And over the last 35 years, we've seen the models being refined as the whole community debates the incoming evidence against the model predictions and they're getting more and more accurate with greater consensus.
As you say, if after 3 decades of debating it {and all of them ringing up all their mates and getting their input} the 20 clinicians all agree then it suggests they may be right. {Just a pity that the patient's basically died in the meantime.}