If I may just try and articulate my understanding of Coronavirus please Awimb

[Maravilloso Marvo]

The key event to look for at the moment is for there to be a community infection in Australia. Or indeed anywhere in the southern hemisphere. A community infection is where the infection is passed on person to person within that home community. The only reports so far in the southern hemisphere can all be traced back. So the person has been to China, or Italy or some other high risk place in the northern hemisphere and caught it there. The reason for this to be key is that for as long as it doesn't transmit in the southern hemisphere, then Coronavirus has all of the attributes of your typical seasonal flu like virus - It can't survive or transmit well in warmer weather.

Now assuming that stays the same as we are now, then generally speaking the 17th week of the year is when the temperature and climate has changed enough in the northern hemisphere for flu to stop transmitting here. The 17th week of the year is some time near the end of April, so we have another 6-8 weeks of this and then we're pretty much done.

Now of course if this virus does prove to be able to survive and transmit in warmer climate, then we are well and truly fcuked!

[Luis Anaconda]

The key event to look for at the moment is for there to be a community infection in Australia. Or indeed anywhere in the southern hemisphere. A community infection is where the infection is passed on person to person within that home community. The only reports so far in the southern hemisphere can all be traced back. So the person has been to China, or Italy or some other high risk place in the northern hemisphere and caught it there. The reason for this to be key is that for as long as it doesn't transmit in the southern hemisphere, then Coronavirus has all of the attributes of your typical seasonal flu like virus - It can't survive or transmit well in warmer weather.

Now assuming that stays the same as we are now, then generally speaking the 17th week of the year is when the temperature and climate has changed enough in the northern hemisphere for flu to stop transmitting here. The 17th week of the year is some time near the end of April, so we have another 6-8 weeks of this and then we're pretty much done.

Now of course if this virus does prove to be able to survive and transmit in warmer climate, then we are well and truly fcuked!
Wise words, mm. Well the last line anyway. I'm off to Malaga on Friday - guess where they have just had the first case :(

[Monty92]

Wise words, mm. Well the last line anyway. I'm off to Malaga on Friday - guess where they have just had the first case :(

That'll be Faversham, mate. Don't try and steal my thunder with your fancy globe-trotting ways.

[Maravilloso Marvo]

Wise words, mm. Well the last line anyway. I'm off to Malaga on Friday - guess where they have just had the first case :(

You should be fine in Malaga, too hot for it to be easily spread...

[Maravilloso Marvo]

That'll be Faversham, mate. Don't try and steal my thunder with your fancy globe-trotting ways.

Yeah, I think you are fcuked mate. Just don't go near anybody until the end of April is my advice!

[Luis Anaconda]

You should be fine in Malaga, too hot for it to be easily spread...

Cheers Marve - I'll probably have a few drinks there to ward it off just in case. That is the best way isn't it?

[bbrian]

Cheers Marve - I'll probably have a few drinks there to ward it off just in case. That is the best way isn't it?:

:nod: it cured my strep throat last week

[Luis Anaconda]

:

:nod: it cured my strep throat last week

wd bb - its the cause of, and solution to all life's problems

[Luis Anaconda]

That'll be Faversham, mate. Don't try and steal my thunder with your fancy globe-trotting ways.

:rolleyes: Little Englander ;)

[Burney]

:rolleyes: Little Englander ;)

A few years in the Reich and he's already calling us 'Englander'. :rolleyes:

It'll be Inselaffen next. :shakehead:

[Luis Anaconda]

A few years in the Reich and he's already calling us 'Englander'. :rolleyes:

It'll be Inselaffen next. :shakehead:

Shut it Tommy

[Tony C]

Would be better interesting to see how the Aussie numbers are made up.

Seem to recall they were one of the first (probably the first) to start quarantine arrivals from affected countries...kept them on that island 2000 miles away lol

Is it those people catching it? Or your normal Harold Bishop type?

[Tony C]

I think some of these figures might be wrong.

How can Mongolia have no reported cases?

[Burney]

I think some of these figures might be wrong.

How can Mongolia have no reported cases?

Because it's famously remote, t. There is one big city and the rest of it is pretty much empty. It's a great place to avoid a disease.

[Tony C]

This place looks nice Bernie

http://www.shangri-la.com/ulaanbaatar/shangrila/about/

Might go here when this virus goes away.

[Luis Anaconda]

Because it's famously remote, t. There is one big city and the rest of it is pretty much empty. It's a great place to avoid a disease.

I was supposed to go there one but the TransSiberian was rerouted for a reason I can't remember so just saw more and more of the remote Russian wastelands