modd
04-18-2015, 01:52 PM
I think that polls mean jack **** now three weeks out. Look at the undecideds and the tactical voting is key
Snp will no way do as well as people vote. it like silly polls in 2010 with lib dems. they were predicted to ger 80 seats but lost seats in the end.
snp will gain no more then 20 to 25 seats at most. this is because nearer election day comes voters in scotland will go back to labour. Its like scotish independence vote which one stage had snp on 52 % and they ended up with 45%.
same with ukip they don,t do as well as people think as tory voters will go back to the tories.
So for me I think that means both major parties wlll hit above 35% for sure.
There will be loads of tactical voting and that will favour the two big beasts
For me I think labour have the edge due to the boundry system so my gut instict saids for them have minority goverment. but as i said few weeks ago i could see either party getting a majority and i would not be suprised in cameron get a majority as like 1992 could be a lot of slient tory voters out their.
this is because people will go back to major parties nearer election day as to who they want as pm
all i know is their is no way ukip and snp vote share be as good as polls say.
Lib dems vote will fall away for sure.
two major parties will dominate that for sure.
I personally don,t rate either cameron or miliband. Neither is that strong a leader. That said at least neither at as a presidential type pm in way thatcher or blair or brown did in that nasty way. They not as crazy either as thatcher or blair or bleak as brown.
Snp will no way do as well as people vote. it like silly polls in 2010 with lib dems. they were predicted to ger 80 seats but lost seats in the end.
snp will gain no more then 20 to 25 seats at most. this is because nearer election day comes voters in scotland will go back to labour. Its like scotish independence vote which one stage had snp on 52 % and they ended up with 45%.
same with ukip they don,t do as well as people think as tory voters will go back to the tories.
So for me I think that means both major parties wlll hit above 35% for sure.
There will be loads of tactical voting and that will favour the two big beasts
For me I think labour have the edge due to the boundry system so my gut instict saids for them have minority goverment. but as i said few weeks ago i could see either party getting a majority and i would not be suprised in cameron get a majority as like 1992 could be a lot of slient tory voters out their.
this is because people will go back to major parties nearer election day as to who they want as pm
all i know is their is no way ukip and snp vote share be as good as polls say.
Lib dems vote will fall away for sure.
two major parties will dominate that for sure.
I personally don,t rate either cameron or miliband. Neither is that strong a leader. That said at least neither at as a presidential type pm in way thatcher or blair or brown did in that nasty way. They not as crazy either as thatcher or blair or bleak as brown.