seasider7
10-04-2012, 03:23 PM
He portrays himself as a level minded Brit with a growing interest in US politics.
On one hand he displays excellent knowledge of the American political scene. He is able to accurately quote the most intricate of facts going back to yesteryear, stuff that you can't just Google, cut & paste. He is able to quote mainstream and obscure polling data almost as soon as it is released, no shock there of course as it's readily available, my point is to show he LOOKS and IS AWARE of such detailed data.
So, he is certainly aware of polling data, probability charts, betting trends , predictions etc (he quotes them when it's suits him). As such he is aware that going into yesterday Obama had a massive lead in probability of reelection. All betting sites were uniform in that belief.
A strong Romney debate later, and modd now decrees the election is over, Romney is headed to White House in a landslide.
This morning, not a solitary betting/prediction analysis site has Romney as a huge favourite, a slight favourite, and ANY kind of favourite. In fact, no betting site has him anywhere near parity. he is still a massive underdog, that's not my partisan feeling, that is a stone cold betting fact.
modd is aware of this, but not content with saying Romney's chances have improved (which they have slightly), he goes to the absurd extreme of claiming a Romney landslide, game over.
You can't be that well read, and play that dumb, and not be sussed for it.
On one hand he displays excellent knowledge of the American political scene. He is able to accurately quote the most intricate of facts going back to yesteryear, stuff that you can't just Google, cut & paste. He is able to quote mainstream and obscure polling data almost as soon as it is released, no shock there of course as it's readily available, my point is to show he LOOKS and IS AWARE of such detailed data.
So, he is certainly aware of polling data, probability charts, betting trends , predictions etc (he quotes them when it's suits him). As such he is aware that going into yesterday Obama had a massive lead in probability of reelection. All betting sites were uniform in that belief.
A strong Romney debate later, and modd now decrees the election is over, Romney is headed to White House in a landslide.
This morning, not a solitary betting/prediction analysis site has Romney as a huge favourite, a slight favourite, and ANY kind of favourite. In fact, no betting site has him anywhere near parity. he is still a massive underdog, that's not my partisan feeling, that is a stone cold betting fact.
modd is aware of this, but not content with saying Romney's chances have improved (which they have slightly), he goes to the absurd extreme of claiming a Romney landslide, game over.
You can't be that well read, and play that dumb, and not be sussed for it.