Quote Originally Posted by Herbert Augustus Chapman View Post
that she was expected to lose?

When is the Monty was confidently calling yesterday? The one which will tells us if he is indeed an astute observer of the political zeitgeist who can sense the complex machinations at the heart of the bodies politic, or just another babbling quarter-wit
The vote was never really supposed to take place. The Soubry amendment was supposed to be passed, meaning the vote would be postponed. However, the Government (which really does combine arrogance and incompetence to a quite spectacular degree) gave way on the Soubry amendment and tried to force its motion through anyway in the belief that the ERG would acquiesce (a naive belief dear old Monty clearly shared). The Government miscalculated appallingly, the ERG abstained and the motion was defeated, leaving May unable to claim she has any Parliamentary majority for her deal.