1/4 for a Con Majority ie 80% probability
next best is a Labour Minority at 10/1...
It amuses me no end that these intellectuals waving the red flag will be the ones that Corbyn has in his crosshairs. One wonders how they’ll react when Corbyn and the unions grind the country to a halt. Re- Nationalisation roll outs with twenty blokes stood around a hole while one digs will once again be a common sight on our streets.Originally Posted by PSRB
Whilst he does nothing for me because there is absolutely nothing 'Conservative' about him, I have a feeling he will end up an extremely popular PM. When he gets out and about people find him charming.
To be fair, in Johnson's case I think that reflects the way in which Brexit has utterly polarised views. Anyone anti-Brexit will disapprove of Johnson and anyone pro will approve him. That skews this type of polling and leaves zero room for nuance.
In Corbyn's case, he's just a disaster. On that we agree.
I think he has some solid Conservative instincts (look at his old Spectator articles), but he's been forced to publically move to the left on some social issues because of the prevailing culture, and taxation/spending because of the austerity narrative that has cut through.
It's also why the Tories have always maintained their distance from Farage. The calculation is that reverting to old-school social conservatism on issues like immigration, family values, etc would lose them more votes than it would gain.
Let's face it, if it was't for Brexit the Tories would be totally ****ed at this election. There's absolutely no way they would be threatening to break the red wall after "a decade of austerity"
Looked at objectively, the truly fascinating thing about this campaign has been the LibDem's total and utter implosion. They actually facilitated this election because they saw it as their best chance since 2010 to become relevant again. Instead, their vote has collapsed, Swinson has proved about as popular as cold vomit and was last heard on Today wittering madness about there being no such thing as biological sex.
Weren't his Spectator articles pandering to his audience, though? Look at his time as mayor. All the cycling/green nonsense. He's about as Conservative as those pseudo-socialists Cameron and Osborne, who got us into this God-awful mess with their refusal to rein in public spending.
His green bóllocks is extremely alarming, I agree. Not helped by the fact that his totty is a mad tree-hugger, of course.
And I swear to God, if I have to hear another supposed Tory using the emetic phrase 'Our NHS' one more fúcking time...
It's actually all you ever say these days you droning old Tory spastic
Thank you for that thoughtful and erudite contribution, h.
What are your thoughts on a third of the population being happy to admit to being rank racists?
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