Election predictions??

[Billy Goat Sverige]

I'm going to say the polls are completely wrong (again) and the youngsters won't go out and vote. Labour to get below 200 seats.

[World's End Stella]

Burney to vote Tory

[Burney]

I'm going to say the polls are completely wrong (again) and the youngsters won't go out and vote. Labour to get below 200 seats.

Young people may vote, but they will do so in concentrations like University towns where it will make no difference. It's entirely possible, in fact, that Labour's vote share could go up on 2015's but they still lose a shedload of seats. That'd give them something to moan about.

The fact that the polling is bloody appalling makes predictions very difficult, but I'd say a majority of anything over 50 is a pretty solid bet.

[Sir C]

I'm going to say the polls are completely wrong (again) and the youngsters won't go out and vote. Labour to get below 200 seats.

Yes, I'm suspecting that the wobble in the polls was a backlash against the worst Tory manifesto I have ever seen, but everyone's settled down again now.

80 seat majority.

[World's End Stella]

Yes, I'm suspecting that the wobble in the polls was a backlash against the worst Tory manifesto I have ever seen, but everyone's settled down again now.

80 seat majority.

I have to say I was a big buyer of May's prior to the election campaign.

I'm now hoping she's a much better PM than a campaigner.

[Burney]

Yes, I'm suspecting that the wobble in the polls was a backlash against the worst Tory manifesto I have ever seen, but everyone's settled down again now.

80 seat majority.

I also think there are questions to be asked about the role of polling companies. Polls have come out in this campaign so wildly inaccurate as to suggest deliberate attempts to disrupt the campaign.

[Sir C]

I also think there are questions to be asked about the role of polling companies. Polls have come out in this campaign so wildly inaccurate as to suggest deliberate attempts to disrupt the campaign.

YouGov in particular would appear to have been pulling numbers out of their árses.

A chap in the Times this morning claims that Labour's polling suggests the Tories have a 13 point lead.

[Pat Vegas]

I also think there are questions to be asked about the role of polling companies. Polls have come out in this campaign so wildly inaccurate as to suggest deliberate attempts to disrupt the campaign.

This is a good point.

as I mention in my other post I am suspicious of all these have your say/vote adverts aimed at the youngsters.
Youtube is at it. Facebook is at it.

[Sir C]

I have to say I was a big buyer of May's prior to the election campaign.

I'm now hoping she's a much better PM than a campaigner.

Really? I have never been particularly impressed with her, but since she has revealed herself to be some sort of undercover socialist, I fear for our future.

[Burney]

YouGov in particular would appear to have been pulling numbers out of their árses.

A chap in the Times this morning claims that Labour's polling suggests the Tories have a 13 point lead.

YouGov have form for this. They're the ones who came out with the poll saying Yes would win in Scotland. This caused huge concessions to be given to the jocks when in fact every other poll was tracking the result more or less accurately.