Tele reporting the Conservatives lead is down to 1 point, 41 to 40.
This can't be happening. Shirley. :-(
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Tele reporting the Conservatives lead is down to 1 point, 41 to 40.
This can't be happening. Shirley. :-(
Given that Corbyn has only been campaigning in Labour safe seats and May has been highly visible in places Labour have a small majority, I'm guessing that the parties' own polling is much nearer to the truth.
Corbyn knows they're going to lose badly and is cementing his position amongst the faithful, while May knows those labour seats are very much up for grabs.
I read this morning that the polls showing it to be very close are assuming a 90% turnout amongst 18-24s. Which ain't going to happen.
For some of them, YouGov, for example, you have to register with them first, which means they're only asking the more politically engaged sort of people who would bother to register.
None of it really explains a 20 point swing in a month, though. It's still weird.